Brasiliense Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Capital Brasilia vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
CAP
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
7 - 1
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
57%
21%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAP
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
CAP
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
CUI
17%
26%
58%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
CRI
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
SAM
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |