Capiscol vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAP
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MON
4 - 5
CAP
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAP
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
5 - 1
FRI
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAP
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEL
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 0
ONA
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 3
VIL
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |