Capiscol vs Montija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAP
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 2
GRO
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAP
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 0
CER
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 2
CAP
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GRO
2 - 0
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
CER
50%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
4 - 0
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FRI
46%
20%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BEL
5 - 0
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |