Capiscol vs Frias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 3
CAP
24%
20%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 5
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 2
TRE
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BEB
2 - 0
CAP
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALB
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FRI
3 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 3
FRI
60%
19%
22%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 5
BEB
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 0
FRI
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 1
MON
41%
21%
37%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |