Capelle vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 3
CAP
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BUI
1 - 1
CAP
15%
18%
68%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 1
ACH
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 3
RIJ
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ZWA
1 - 1
SPI
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 3
ACH
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SCF
6 - 1
ZWA
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
POO
4 - 3
ZWA
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 3
FCS
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |