Capelle vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
CAP
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
RIJ
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DVS
1 - 1
CAP
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 0
STE
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SVB
1 - 5
CAP
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 3
MVV
38%
25%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MVV
1 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
EIN
4 - 1
MVV
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
MVV
1 - 0
TEL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
FCO
1 - 3
MVV
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |