Capelle vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
62.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FLE
2 - 3
CAP
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
1 - 2
RIJ
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
IJS
2 - 2
CAP
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
CAP
1 - 2
HOE
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 0
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
TWE
22%
26%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 2
INT
30%
28%
43%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 2
TWE
22%
26%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TWE
4 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 3
TWE
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |