Capelle vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
CAP
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
HHC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 0
NOO
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 3
CAP
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
RIJ
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
ONS
49%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 1
TER
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |