Capelle vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CAP
2 - 0
TER
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 2
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAP
0 - 1
RIJ
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CAP
1 - 2
KAT
33%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DTO
0 - 3
CAP
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
NOO
2 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
KOZ
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 3
SHO
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
TGR
0 - 2
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
4 - 1
HEE
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |