Capelle vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GVV
4 - 0
CAP
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
ONS
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
KAT
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
CAP
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 2
KAT
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 2
EXC
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
WIL
24%
23%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
EXC
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |