Capelle vs Amsterdamsche FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BUI
1 - 1
CAP
15%
18%
68%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 1
ACH
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 3
RIJ
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
4 - 3
CAP
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 1
AFC
26%
22%
52%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 2
ASW
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HHC
0 - 2
AFC
32%
24%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DET
0 - 3
AFC
19%
21%
61%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
5 - 1
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |