Capalaba vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
ROC
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
IPS
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
CAP
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 3
CAP
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
PEN
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
UNI
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BRI
3 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
NOR
30%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
QUE
10%
17%
74%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | -1 |