Capalaba vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 0
CAP
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAP
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
QUE
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 2
UNI
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 2
CAP
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNI
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUE
18%
21%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
UNI
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NPI
1 - 2
UNI
45%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |