Capalaba vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
CAP
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 2
WOL
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
CAP
5 - 1
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 1
PIN
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 2
CAP
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 1
UNI
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
UNI
32%
24%
45%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
EAS
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
MGH
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |