Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
MIT
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
CAP
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 6
HPH
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
CAP
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAP
8 - 0
NPI
85%
9%
5%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
QUE
27%
24%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 2
PEN
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
ROC
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NPI
0 - 0
PEN
10%
14%
76%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |