Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
7 - 1
TAR
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 1
CAP
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
MIT
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAP
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -3 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALB
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
EAS
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 3
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
QUE
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |