Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
71.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
CAP
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 6
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAP
11%
16%
73%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 2
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 2
CAP
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 2
PEN
20%
21%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |