Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
CAP
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 4
OLY
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAP
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 3
EAS
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 1
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
6 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 6
PEN
31%
22%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
ROC
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
RED
4 - 3
PEN
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
OLY
3 - 1
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |