Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 0
CAP
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 0
TAR
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAP
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
BRI
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WOL
4 - 1
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 0
PEN
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
ROC
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MGH
2 - 1
PEN
21%
21%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
NPI
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 2
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |