Capalaba vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
MIT
1 - 4
CAP
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PIN
0 - 4
CAP
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
BRI
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 3
CAP
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
PEN
4 - 1
TAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 3
ROC
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MIT
0 - 4
PEN
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
PIN
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
MGH
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |