Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 2
CAP
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 2
WOL
14%
18%
68%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 4
QUE
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
IPS
2 - 0
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
LOG
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
7 - 1
ALB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
6 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
LOG
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |