Canvey Island vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 2
WAL
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WHI
0 - 2
CAN
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 1
WAL
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 2
CAN
17%
24%
60%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
TIL
2 - 1
CAN
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 1
HAR
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
4 - 0
FLA
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 1
HOR
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ENF
1 - 1
WIN
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 0
YEL
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |