Canvey Island vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 0
CAN
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 1
STO
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 1
DER
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 1
TON
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAN
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TIL
0 - 0
WHI
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 2
TIL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
TIL
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
TIL
1 - 2
HEY
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
YEL
4 - 2
TIL
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |