Canvey Island vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
CAN
30%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 2
YEL
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BIL
3 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAV
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
CAN
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 2
GRA
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
EAS
5 - 1
TIL
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DER
2 - 3
TIL
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
TIL
5 - 2
VCD
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SOH
1 - 1
TIL
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |