Canvey Island vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
DAR
6 - 1
CAN
57%
22%
20%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 1
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 2
ARL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
4 - 4
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
0 - 2
AVE
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
RED
3 - 0
TIL
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 2
BRE
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 2
BUR
30%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 2
TIL
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |