Canvey Island vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ARL
3 - 1
CAN
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 0
CAN
23%
25%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAN
4 - 0
FLA
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
HAL
0 - 2
CAN
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CAN
1 - 1
EXE
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TIL
0 - 4
ENF
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WAR
4 - 0
TIL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
WIN
3 - 2
TIL
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TIL
1 - 0
BAE
17%
22%
62%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
DAR
6 - 2
TIL
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |