Canvey Island vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WOK
1 - 0
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
CAN
2 - 2
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 1
HAL
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
FAR
1 - 3
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SCA
1 - 1
CAN
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
HUR
3 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
HAL
1 - 3
MOR
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 1
WOK
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
MOR
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |