Canvey Island vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HAL
4 - 1
CAN
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
ALD
2 - 0
CAN
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CAN
2 - 2
BUR
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
STA
1 - 0
CAN
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 4
HER
20%
22%
59%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
FAR
1 - 1
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
EBB
2 - 2
FAR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LEI
1 - 2
FAR
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FAR
0 - 2
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
FAR
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |