Canvey Island vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
RAM
3 - 0
CAN
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BED
0 - 2
CAN
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 1
CAN
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 1
MAL
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 2
BFC
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 3
CRA
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BRI
3 - 3
CRA
16%
19%
65%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 3
BIS
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
POT
3 - 0
CRA
15%
22%
64%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 6
CRA
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |