Canvey Island vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
TIL
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 2
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAN
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
BUR
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CRA
7 - 2
FAV
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VCD
1 - 2
CRA
18%
22%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
WHY
67%
17%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
4 - 3
HYT
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ASH
1 - 3
CRA
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |