FA Trophy 1/256
Global 5-4
Canvey Island vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 3
CAN
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
BAS
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
5 - 0
ASH
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 2
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
BOW
1 - 1
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 3
CAN
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 2
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
FCR
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 2
UXB
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
BED
1 - 1
CHI
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |