Canvey Island vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
LOW
1 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 2
KIN
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
CAN
3 - 0
BUR
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 0
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 3
CAN
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
YEL
1 - 1
ILF
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MER
4 - 6
YEL
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 1
YEL
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
YEL
2 - 1
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
YEL
3 - 3
GRA
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |