Canvey Island vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 0
ARL
71%
18%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
2 - 0
CAN
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
WIV
0 - 3
CAN
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAN
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
3 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 1
YEL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
YEL
2 - 1
ENF
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
ENF
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
RED
0 - 1
YEL
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |