Cantolagua vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17%
78%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
19.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAN
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
2 - 2
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
VAD
3 - 2
OSA
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAD
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
VAD
1 - 1
LEV
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 3
VAD
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATH
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |