Cantillana vs Navas Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAN
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
CAN
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
CAN
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 1
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Navas Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
CAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALC
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 2
NAV
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAV
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NAV
6 - 3
GUA
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |