Cantera vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
54.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cantera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SJZ
1 - 2
CAN
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 3
CAM
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIQ
4 - 0
CAN
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
SNA
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FOB
2 - 2
CAN
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 3
SIL
61%
20%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATZ
1 - 5
UCA
21%
19%
61%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SJZ
0 - 1
UCA
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
CAM
60%
20%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PIQ
1 - 2
UCA
56%
20%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |