4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Canovelles B vs Palautordera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
57.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canovelles B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 2
SAE
68%
16%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SCI
4 - 3
CAN
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 2
TOR
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PCF
1 - 4
CAN
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 3
COR
64%
18%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palautordera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
PCF
91%
7%
3%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
COR
2 - 7
PAL
20%
18%
62%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
EPG
1 - 4
PAL
50%
19%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PAL
3 - 2
AAF
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AAS
1 - 6
PAL
6%
11%
83%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |