Caniçal vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+637%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
PON
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 3
CAN
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 1
POR
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 1
CAN
10%
16%
74%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 2
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAM
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
CRU
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 2
RIB
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 1
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |