Caniçal vs Calheta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 4
CAN
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 3
CAN
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 0
CAM
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 0
XAV
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAM
46%
22%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 2
CRU
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 3
CAL
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |