Canelas 2010 vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
11º
11º
10
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAN
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ANA
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 1
CAN
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 0
CAN
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 0
TRO
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 1
TRO
14%
25%
61%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
VIA
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |