Canelas 2010 vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
6º
33
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAN
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAN
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIT
6%
16%
78%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIL
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAO
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
VSC
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
MON
75%
19%
7%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |