Canelas 2010 vs Os Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+224%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 1
CAN
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
4 - 2
PED
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SSV
2 - 2
CAN
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 2
LEV
74%
15%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 2
CAN
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Os Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
OSL
2 - 2
GUL
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SHO
1 - 1
OSL
11%
17%
73%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OSL
0 - 0
CMA
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OSL
1 - 4
SFM
83%
11%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CRE
4 - 4
OSL
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |