Canelas 2010 vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAN
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
VIA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 8
FEL
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAN
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 1
GDF
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 2
GDF
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
GDF
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 2
RAB
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
CAL
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |