Canelas 2010 vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
5º
41
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAN
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 2
ANA
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
CAN
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
CAN
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
TRO
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
FEL
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 2
FAM
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
AVE
2 - 0
FEL
10%
14%
76%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 2
UDL
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |