Canelas 2010 vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
5º
24
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 0
CHA
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
CAN
72%
19%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
LUS
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 0
GDF
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAN
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
2 - 1
TRO
14%
24%
62%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
FAF
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 2
FEL
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 3
LUS
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |