Candás CF vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Candás CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AST
3 - 1
CAN
50%
24%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
GIN
18%
24%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAD
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LUA
2 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
LUA
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LUA
0 - 1
ESM
18%
21%
62%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 0
LUA
68%
20%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 1
AND
23%
25%
53%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |