Candás CF vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Candás CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 1
RIB
38%
27%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CAU
1 - 0
CAN
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
26%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 1
CAN
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 0
CON
67%
21%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
LUA
0 - 0
AVI
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
LUA
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LUA
0 - 0
GIN
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UPL
2 - 2
LUA
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LUA
3 - 4
UNI
20%
23%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |