Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COO
7 - 4
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 1
CAN
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GOU
1 - 7
CAN
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
MON
64%
20%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
TUG
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TUG
0 - 1
CAN
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COO
4 - 0
TUG
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 0
TUG
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |