Canberra Olympic vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
4º
2º
51
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 0
WWF
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GUN
2 - 1
CAN
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
CAN
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COO
2 - 2
CAN
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
4 - 0
BEL
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
1 - 1
CAN
12%
15%
73%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
3 - 1
BEL
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 0
CAN
8%
13%
79%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OKF
1 - 4
GUN
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |