Canberra FC vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
51
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAN
69%
16%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
WWF
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 2
CAN
28%
22%
51%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAN
26%
21%
53%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 3
COO
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
OKF
0 - 3
COO
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WWF
0 - 6
OKF
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OKF
3 - 3
GUN
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 1
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
5 - 1
TUG
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |